Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 44.902387 50.592174 56.528723 63.167907 70.368506 77.925079 86.437621
2024-11-03 36.906320 45.339746 54.685031 65.731096 78.351280 92.242101 108.607215
2024-11-10 32.033419 41.828092 53.143346 67.022284 83.423307 102.026217 124.554089
2024-11-17 27.738895 38.288834 50.940347 66.968691 86.463733 109.139079 137.226603
2024-11-24 25.567893 36.978680 51.092927 69.450211 92.296221 119.397331 153.557635
2024-12-01 22.675593 34.399504 49.361869 69.335064 94.753869 125.481895 164.859512
2024-12-08 19.925530 31.703272 47.204998 68.425141 96.010932 129.954492 174.124451
2024-12-15 17.912299 29.796352 45.888905 68.424941 98.281596 135.596522 184.805772
2024-12-22 16.163470 28.082966 44.673096 68.413941 100.430066 141.025845 195.221165
2024-12-29 15.467315 27.828603 45.413190 71.006660 105.998053 150.859507 211.308826
2025-01-05 14.314290 26.774394 44.930695 71.846650 109.192716 157.639910 223.565691
2025-01-12 13.187503 25.653205 44.258872 72.344809 111.877499 163.746855 234.996930
2025-01-19 11.497292 23.506058 41.977103 70.489471 111.330246 165.654916 241.123283
2025-01-26 11.098514 23.453886 42.837651 73.194992 117.168298 176.170720 258.721969
2025-02-02 10.432474 22.879844 42.841818 74.605227 121.179221 184.260954 273.195669
2025-02-09 9.504113 21.756548 41.905401 74.545234 123.059165 189.455121 283.851383
2025-02-16 9.228427 21.777571 42.781387 77.231377 128.916432 200.156190 302.017894
2025-02-23 8.420408 20.736757 41.861964 77.106740 130.660603 205.187665 312.569506
2025-03-02 7.531460 19.447538 40.442691 76.122108 131.078727 208.340586 320.566665
2025-03-09 6.894836 18.584455 39.681570 76.121890 132.920859 213.480316 331.314160
2025-03-16 6.312243 17.767584 38.943493 76.109985 134.715359 218.549908 341.999641
2025-03-23 6.201914 17.929637 39.928672 78.914934 140.817923 229.821804 361.406714
2025-03-30 5.820131 17.469272 39.770691 79.823239 144.026766 236.981401 375.152712